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3Q 2019 Blue Book Updates

HeliValue$, Inc. held its review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book® on October 22, 2019. Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following helicopter models:

Mfg Model   Resale Value   Comments
         
Airbus EC155B1     configuration pricing change
         
Boeing CH-47D     resale price increase
         
Leonardo AW119 Koala     configuration pricing change
         
Leonardo AW119Ke     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW119Kx     2018 and 2019 resale pricing added, configuration pricing change and resales pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW109SP     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW139 Short Nose   configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW139 Long Nose     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
MD MD500D     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Sikorsky S76C+     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Sikorsky S76C++     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Sikorsky S76D     configuration pricing change
         

Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume. We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers and equipment manufacturers worldwide.

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values. Stay up to date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription. 

 

3Q Market Overview

Piston helicopter sales remain stable from last quarter, but inventory levels continue to fall. If demand remains stable over the next six months, this decrease in inventory could have a positive impact on resale prices in 2020.

Light single turbine sales seem to have slowed this quarter. The few sales that have taken place have started to indicate signs of possible weakening in the Bell 407 and Airbus AS350 markets. Continue to monitor this newsletter and website for any changes in the near future.

Light twin turbine sales also seem to have slowed down this quarter. VIP configured helicopters, however, have shown to be the larger number of sales in comparison to other configurations.

And, the only good news this quarter, medium twin sales are on the rise. Bell 212 and 412, Leonardo AW109SP and AW139, Sikorsky S76C+ and S76C++ are seeing more sales activity than in the first half of this year. Back to the bad news – all of these models are seeing declining values. Possibly these falling values are the driving factor in the transactions. As in the light twin market, there is an increase in VIP helicopter transactions, predominantly in Leonardo and Sikorsky helicopters.

Heavy twin activity continued to increase this quarter, but no new sales have been recorded. On October 31st there was an Airbus H225 crash off the South Korean coast claiming the lives of all seven occupants aboard. The cause of the accident is not yet determined. As with previous major helicopter accidents that could affect the desirability of particular models, we are monitoring both news and attitudes closely to detect the eventual market impact. Please do not rush to impair this model on your balance sheets, especially if you report under US GAAP and cannot reverse the impairment.

By: Jason Kmiecik, President

 

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Detailed Value Report - Any Time, Anywhere

The cost to you is $495/each.

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This offer expires December 31, 2019.

HeliCalc® is the newest addition to the tools and resources offered by HeliValue$. We developed it specifically for our customers with a strong background in helicopter operations, to give you 24/7 access to the value of your specific helicopter in its exact current configuration and component status. HeliCalc® provides a comprehensive report based on your helicopter’s actual component times, maintenance programs, and mission equipment.

HeliCalc® is not an appraisal and does not meet USPAP standards. It is an Automated Valuation Model (AVM) and should not be used in place of a formal appraisal performed by a Qualified Appraiser as defined in the U.S. Code of Federal Regulations, or its equivalent in your country.

If you are a Qualified Appraiser yourself, with the appropriate level of experience to establish competence as required by the professional appraisal standards of your country, HeliCalc® is a superb tool to aid you in performing helicopter appraisals. Let HeliValue$ do the research work of maintaining overhaul and replacement costs, maintenance intervals, and marketplace trends. All you have to do is enter the data and output the report. You can incorporate our HeliCalc® directly into your own appraisal report to your client.

To complete a HeliCalc® report you will need:

·    Current component status report

·    Detailed installed equipment list

·    The knowledge and experience to accurately read the reports and identify the components’ nomenclature, time remaining (TR) or time since overhaul (TSO).

 

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HeliCalc® now live

Are you considering a purchase? Need to establish a competitive asking price? Considering pre-lease commitments? Are you performing an internal company evaluation? Do you perform your own appraisals and require a more in-depth approach or alternative to a Blue Book page?  HeliCalc® is the perfect solution for customers with helicopter operations knowledge.  With HeliCalc® you will enter data into the program using your helicopter's component report and installed equipment list.  HeliCalc® will also account for hourly maintenance programs, the condition of the paint/window and glass/upholstery and flooring/interior plastic.  The program will calculate values based on the average weighted use of your components, the installed equipment, and condition.  HeliCalc® will then generate a report and calculations that display your value results.  Each report is capable of providing the Fair Market Value (FMV), Orderly Liquidation Value (OLV), and Net Orderly Liquidation Value (NOLV) based on maintenance adjusted, 0% (full-life) and 50% (half-life) component status.  Customers will have access to value results using HeliCalc® 24/7.     


HeliCalc® is based on HeliValue$, Inc. forty years of collected data and proprietary algorithms.  Couple this with an average of 2,500 helicopter appraisals performed annually, and there is no source more accurate and dependable than HeliValue$' HeliCalc®.  HeliCalc® is a pay-per-use program.  Reports are available for purchase for a fee of $495 each.  View a sample report.  Customers who require a formal appraisal performed by an accredited HV$ appraiser after the purchase of a HeliCalc® report will receive a 10% discount on appraisal desktop fees within six months of the report date.

 

 

 

Q2 2019 blue book updates

HeliValue$, Inc. held its review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book® on July 12, 2019.  Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following models: 
 

MFR.ModelChangeYOM Affected
AirbusAS-350B31998-2012
AirbusAS-350B3e (H125)2011-2016
AirbusBK-117 B11987-1994
AirbusBK-117 B21983-1997
AirbusBK-117 C2 (EC145T1)--*Est. 2013-2018 pricing
AirbusEC-130B42001-2012
AirbusEC-130T2--*Est. 2018-2019 pricing
AirbusSA-315B Lama--*Re-est. 1962-1992 pricing
AirbusSA-341G Gazelle--*Re-est. 1968-1978 pricing
Bell4071996-2014
Bell412EP1994-2011
Bell4292010-2016 down, *Est 2017-2019 pricing
Enstrom280F/FX2008-2019
Enstrom480B2000-2019
Leonardo109SP--*Est. 2018-2019 pricing
Leonardo119Kx--*Est. 2018-2019 pricing
LeonardoAW139 Long Nose2007-2019
MD530*Est. 2010-2019 pricing
MD9021998-2013



* Newly established or re-established pricing based on new resale transaction information. 

**Please note all Robinson helicopters are under extensive review as we are experiencing significant swings in value based on geographic region.


Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume.  We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers, and equipment manufacturers worldwide. 

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values.  Stay up to date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription.  

 
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There has been some increased activity over the past quarter.  Piston helicopters are generally trading well.  There has been an ever-increasing number of Robinson helicopters in need of a fresh 2,200-hour overhaul coming onto the market.  Light single turbine sales taking place over the second quarter saw a slight decline in sales prices.  Many of the older single turbine machines on the market have sold, and in turn, interest in the stock of newer models have been picking up.  The Bell 407 series and Airbus AS350B3 series have both had a slight decrease in sale prices in the second quarter.  

With higher than normal activity and interest, the most exciting market segment this past quarter has been the medium market.  This is due to recent tenders for mediums requiring a good number of aircraft to fill contracts.  There is news of several pending transactions and even more under development.  These are all indications that values for medium category aircraft will improve in the third quarter.  On the downside of the medium market, the Bell 412EP and MD 902 have had a decline in resale values for the second quarter.  

There is a continued increase in demand for the Airbus EC225LP helicopter as a utility machine, which has left operators and lessors struggling with lead times for parts and equipment from the manufacturer.  The shift from offshore to utility work for this model has also influenced a growing interest in previous variants such as the AS332L, L1, and L2.  The demand for good flyable machines is something the industry hasn’t seen since the EC225 grounding in 2016.  Another positive for the second quarter was the first Sikorsky S-92A resale transaction to take place in several years.  

 

HeliValue$, Inc. held its review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book® on April 1, 2019.  Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following models: 
 

Model Change YOM Affected
Airbus AS-350B2

1989-2015
Airbus AS-3530B3

1997-2012
Airbus AS-350B3e (H125)

2011-2016
Airbus AS-355F1

1980-1991
Airbus AS-355F2

1982-1998
Airbus AS-355N

1997-2006
Airbus AS-365N2

1990-2003
Airbus SA-365C

1977-1981
Airbus SA-365N

1981-1986
Airbus SA-365N1

1987-1990
Airbus EC-155B1 (H155)

2002-2019
Bell 407

1996-2014
Bell 407GX

2011-2014
Bell 407GXP

2014-2018
Bell 427

2000-2011
Bell 430

1996-2008
Leonardo A109S

2005-2011
Sikorsky S-61N

1968-1979
Sikorsky S-76A

1979-1990
Sikorsky S-76C++

2005-2011

***Please Note:  Piston helicopter changes will be released in the upcoming weeks.  Due to a large number of transactions, it’s taking longer than usual to update pricing.


Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume.  We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers and equipment manufacturers worldwide. 

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values.  Stay up-to-date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription.  
 
Login or Subscribe Now

 

 

Market Comments

 

Light-Single Turbine Market

The light single turbine market has been very active across the globe in the first quarter.  The Corporate / VIP markets are going strong.  Nice low time machines are not lasting long on the market before they are grabbed up.  Well-equipped utility machines have been moving quickly and the requests keep funneling in from potential buyers.  EMS Operators continue to take new deliveries as they phase out older machines.   Some models have seen an increase in value as the quantity of well maintained, lower time aircraft continues to shrink.  Newer and more popular models such as the Airbus AS350B2, AS350B3, AS350B3e, and Bell 407, 407GX, 407GXP are models doing particularly well on the resale market.


Light-Twin Turbine Market

Values can only drop so far, one might say.  Since 2008 the Airbus AS355 series has seen a long run of falling values.  For the first time since then, we are seeing activity picking up and transactions starting to take place on some of the older AS355F1, AS355F2, and AS355N models.  Machines with good remaining times on the engines are selling first.  Airbus EC145T1 helicopters are still sought after in the U.S. EMS markets.  There were also a few trades of the Bell 427 and MD 902 models in the first quarter.


Medium-Twin Turbine Market

There’s not much to note in the medium market.  VIP aircraft seem to be the number one seller this past quarter.  Resale activity is low on the offshore side but leasing activity has been increasing.  With a shortage of available newer Leonardo AW139’s, there has been a shift into some of the older Sikorsky S76C++, and Airbus EC155B1 models that have been sitting idle with the lessors and operators.


Heavy-Twin Turbine Market

Contracts, contracts, contracts; we need more contracts.  The dark gloomy clouds that have been hovering over the heavy offshore market are beginning to break up.  We continue to see the supply of Sikorsky S92A’s dwindle down with the lessors.  S-92As currently advertised for sale are gaining interest from operators. 
 

It is no secret that the current financial situation with some of the large operators could possibly reshape the helicopter industry by year-end.  As bad as things may seem right now the future still looks promising for the offshore sector.   New contracts are being added, additional aircraft are being required.  Aircraft are being pulled out of storage to be put back to work, and Rig Counts are up from last year.  The slowing of manufacturer deliveries has greatly improved the used markets.  We are finally seeing stabilization with some of the platforms.  We will continue to see middle-aged aircraft being retiring early as the demand for helicopters has shifted to the more technologically advanced, efficient and cheaper to operate helicopters.  Profitability is everything today.
 

We hope to see the same trends going into the next quarter and even further.  We are all ready for the weather to clear.

By: Jason Kmiecik, President

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HeliValue$, Inc. held its third-quarter Blue Book pricing review in October.  Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following models: 

Q3 Blue Book Pricing Changes

Model                                        Yrs. Of Mfg. Affected

Airbus AS-350B2                             1989-2015

Airbus EC-130T2                               2012-2017

Bell 212                                            1971-1998

Bell 407GXP                                     2014-2018

Robinson R44 Beta II                       1996-2018

Robinson R44 Clipper I                    2000-2018

Robinson R44 Clipper II                   2002-2018

Robinson R44 Raven I                      2000-2018

Robinson R44 Raven II                     2002-2018

Schweizer 300C                                1985-2008

 

Our second-quarter Blue Book review was held July.  Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following models:

Q2 Blue Book Pricing Changes

Model                        Yrs. of Mfg. Affected

Airbus AS-350B2               1989-2002

Airbus AS-350BA              1991-1999

Airbus AS-365N2              1990-2003

Airbus EC-130B4               2001-2011

Airbus EC-135P1               1996-2002

Airbus EC-135T1               1996-2002

Airbus EC-135P2               1998-2016

Airbus EC-135T2               1998-2016

Airbus EC-225                  2004-2015

Airbus SA-365C                1977-1981

Airbus SA-365N                1981-1986

Airbus SA-365N1              1987-1990

Bell 206BIII                      1977-1998

Bell 407                            1996-2014

Bell 407GX                        2011-2014

Bell 407GXP                      2014-2018

Sikorsky S-76D                 2012-2015


Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume.  We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers and equipment manufacturers worldwide. 

 

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values.  Stay up-to-date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription.  


 
Login or Subscribe Now

Helicopter Valuations in Turbulent Times


The dangers and uncertainties of an unstable market are plentiful. Businesses struggle to find their footing and make all possible adjustments to survive the storm. We are seeing some recovery, but it’s no secret that the helicopter industry is still trying to cope with a depressed market. We’ve seen almost every possible situation play out during the downturn; from acquiring operational funds through the leveraging of assets, the sell-off of assets, returned leases, bankruptcy and restructuring, and some closing the doors completely. In almost all cases, an appraisal is required and depending on the situation, the parties involved are either looking for the highest possible values or the lowest possible values.

The pressures these businesses are experiencing are often passed along to the appraisal firm. Frequently, this is manifested in the appraisal request itself: requests for certain “types” of appraisals that would be misleading in a given set of circumstances, requests for a guarantee of a clients’ pre-determined opinion of value, changes in the definition of a type of value, approaching an appraisal assignment for a purpose for which it will not actually be used, etc.. An appraisal performed for the clients’ desired outcome rather than actual market conditions and for the proper purpose is not only misleading to any end user and takes away any real value in the appraisal, but it is also unethicaland comes with sometimes serious consequences.

Most notably, it is the inflated values that will cause the greatest damage down the road. Not only can inflated values skew an entire market segment, they can leave investors and lenders holding debt backed by assets that are worth much less than they think. We’ve repeatedly seen, over the history of the helicopter industry, the devastation this practice causes for everyone involved. While values which have been overly discounted may have somewhat less harmful effects, they still have a negative impact on true resale value for a particular model or a whole segment of the market, especially for models that are not frequently traded. They may also bring the wrath of the regulatory authorities with arguments of “bargain purchases” and the resulting tax implications.

Market perspectives will vary from one business to the next. An operator may have a different opinion than a private owner, who may have a different opinion than a lender or lessor. The appraiser exists to bring clarity to those varying perspectives by interpreting the value of the helicopter in relation to the market as it actually exists. Appraisers should come from a completely unbiased position, free from outside influences, using only facts, knowledge, and experience to develop an opinion of value. As a result, an appraiser will never be able to please every client’s value result expectations. Professional and ethical behavior is the only way the appraisal profession can maintain the public’s trust.

Appraisers and firms with inadequate qualifications or experience, or appraisers willing to purposely misrepresent values to satisfy the client’s specific needs tend to be more commonplace in a depressed market. It is important to make sure that you are not only employing a qualified and experienced appraiser, but one that maintains the highest standards. A reputable appraisal firm will not change their methodology and values to suit the needs of the client.

End users of an appraisal should take time to read the complete report. Note hypothetical conditions and assumptions, explanations of the methodology, definitions, and purpose used in the valuation process. Are all of these parameters appropriate for the situation and purpose? If the previous value results are available, compare them to the current value results. Significant value changes from one appraisal to the next may help identify potential issues. Watching for problem areas becomes even more important for lessors, lenders, and operators that require annual or bi-annual appraisals.

Differing appraisal methodologies, governing bodies, regulatory authorities, certifications and accreditations, U.S. Standards ( https://www.appraisalfoundation.org/ ) vs International Standards (https://www.ivsonline.org/), are all factors that influence how values are determined. Knowing your appraisal firm and its specialties is key to the accuracy of the values you will receive. While true market realities can be painful, knowing those realities, accepting them, preparing and dealing with them will not only ensure that the industry continues to have a healthy recovery, but it will help it recover faster, and avoid future negative effects of improperly and unethically performed appraisals.

About HeliValue$, Inc.
As pioneers of the helicopter appraisal process and methodology, HV$ has provided helicopter and parts appraisals for four decades. Our ASA accredited staff annually appraise over 2,500 helicopters. HV$ is the trusted advisor and industry-wide interpreter for an international clientele of manufacturers, vendors, helicopter operators, banks, leasing and insurance companies, and aviation law firms.

HV$ has also continually published The Official Helicopter Blue Book® since 1979. Information regarding specifications, current and historical resale values, current and historical manufacturer pricing, component overhaul and retirement intervals, and hourly maintenance costs are available for most of the 200 models covered in the Blue Book.